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WBM: Good morning
and welcome to the Aga Foodservice Group's interim results presentation.
Today, we are a force internationally in our chosen markets. We have Aga
at the heart of our consumer operations and bakery leading the way in
foodservice. |
SLIDE
3 - CONSUMER : IDEAS IN PRACTICE
You may recall a key
component of our thinking back in 2001 was that Aga-Rayburn was underdeveloped
and that by bringing Aga centre stage, providing greater marketing support,
linking it to empathetic brands and creating a new, more confident retail
and outlet strategy and eventually translating this approach overseas,
we would create a strong brand-led grouping and a growth business. Aga-Rayburn
has learnt its lines and is producing record sales, record profits, and
has widened horizons. |
SLIDE
4 - THE AGA ADDRESS BOOK
This broader vision
is seen in the first 'Aga Address Book' - the complete range of stylish
interiors'. It will be sent to the targeted audience created from the
newly consolidated customer databases of Aga-Rayburn, Fired Earth, Rangemaster,
Elgin & Hall, Domain and Grange - a 300,000 mail shot. The Address
Book describes the family of brands sharing a passion for design, quality
and panache and supports it with kitchen, sitting room, bedroom and bathroom
shots using products almost entirely from our businesses. It then explains
where to see these products and how to contact the stores. There are calls
to action and direct consumer offers. It provides something of a consumer
mission statement and is central to our collective and individual company,
autumn marketing and sales drives. |
SLIDE
5 - AGA FOODSERVICE 'KNOW-HOW'
In the foodservice
equipment market, being a stand-alone, niche, fabrication-driven business
with market strengths and cyclical weaknesses could never guarantee long-term
growth. To be a growth story, more is needed. To do so we are bringing
collective know-how to bear to help our customers. This week we have launched
Aga Foodservice 'Know-How', a capability document to be sent to our distributors
and end users. |
SLIDE
6 - FIRST HALF 2003 PERFORMANCE : TURNOVER
From the directional
to the immediate and current trading. Continuing turnover in the first
half was up 30 per cent on last year with 18 per cent growth coming from
consumer and 43 per cent from foodservice. However, adjusting for last
year's acquisitions, the underlying year-on-year turnover increase was
13 per cent for consumer and a 2 per cent decrease for foodservice. Turnover
in the first half confirms the evolving shape of the Group as being around
£400 million for the full year of which around 60% is in the UK,
something over 20 per cent in the US and the remainder in Europe. Europe's
percentage increases and the other percentages fall if we take into account
first half turnover of around Euros 24 million for Grange - now a 40%
associate. |
SLIDE
7 - FIRST HALF 2003 PERFORMANCE : OPERATING PROFIT
Looking at operating
profit. Operating profits before goodwill amortisation of £14.3
million were 8 per cent ahead year on year with consumer and foodservice
accounting for approximately half each. |
SLIDE
8 - CONSUMER PERFORMANCE : FIRST HALF 2003
The UK consumer story was particularly strong. Aga-Rayburn was ahead by over 10% in sales, orders and profits, and made 5 times as much as it did in the first half 4 years ago on turnover 40 per cent ahead. Aga sales for the first half were over 5,000. The operational gearing, a key factor behind the decision to make it the Group's centre stage business means volume growth can produce further significant profit growth. At Rangemaster the plan implemented last year to reposition the business has worked particularly well. Volumes are only 40 per cent of levels pre the brand sales to Beko last spring but operating profits have improved sharply. The combination of investment in the factory, a strong, product offering and assertive marketing has worked well as has the sinks/cooker combination for major accounts like MFI and Allders, and buying groups like CIH. Fired Earth achieved record turnover up over 15 per cent largely driven by new stores, and operating profits were ahead 10%. The benefits of the expanded retail space and inspirational formats have further to go. The overall consumer
results were held back by the USA where Domain's sales were down 7 per
cent and a first half contribution in 2002 of £1.8 million compares
to £100,000 this half. The home furnishing industry remains subdued
and has been among the weaker US retail sub sectors this year. Encouragingly,
the two Aga/Domain pilot stores in Virginia and now Princeton have been
the stars in the chain this year and following August's retrofit programme,
12 of the 30 Domain stores now have Aga room sets. There will be 14 by
the year end. Grange, like Domain, experienced tough consumer markets
in the US and Europe but has continued to make good progress with the
Aga connections. There are two Aga/Grange locations in France - Marseille
and Lyon - and as of this week there is now the Aga shop managed by Grange
on Rue du Bac by the Louvre in Paris. We do not claim to have immunity
from consumer cycles but we do have a solid international business in
place. |
SLIDE
9 - FOODSERVICE PERFORMANCE : FIRST HALF 2003
In foodservice, winning the equipment and facilities management contract with Sainsbury's had a major impact not only being the Group's largest single contract, but also being the trigger to consolidate production at Mono and make Millers the facilities management centre of excellence. Gearing up for the contract had upfront costs which Millers and Mono absorbed in the first half. Such contracts alongside that with Marks and Spencer on its store bakery roll outs ensured trading was good in spite of the uncertain future for UK supermarkets. In contrast, for Falcon and Williams in the UK, many key markets including hotels and pubs were too quiet for us to show any progress. To focus our energy in the UK foodservice sector we have put both Falcon and Williams under one MD and sales director. On the continent, Bongard did well in France helped by strong major, French supermarket accounts. In Holland and Italy, markets were distinctly quiet. Overall, its performance was little changed from the first half of last year before it was acquired. Bongard has responded well to providing products for other Group companies and has launched a foodservice range for its customer base. In the USA, progress was impressive. Victory had its best six months since acquisition and with increased production capacity and new products on the way it is moving towards the 10 per cent return on sales target set when it joined the Group in 1999. Adamatic was down
reflecting shipping timing on major roll lines. In foodservice the
excellent work on products and launch plans for cement projects is not
yet visible in the reported numbers mainly as we are requiring businesses
to go through transitional phases, but they are fundamentally much stronger.
But, you are only as good as your last results so here is Shaun to talk
more about them. |
SHAUN
SMITH:
SLIDE 10 - PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT (i) Good morning. Picking up first on the operating profit before goodwill amortisation of £14.3 million, itself up 8 per cent year on year, and looking further through the profit and loss account where goodwill amortisation has increased with the advent of Bongard to £3.9 million in the half year and will be around £8 million in the full year. Interest receivable
was £0.5 million in the first half. Net cash at the end of the half
year was £42.1 million and will rise by the year end to a level
comparable to that of last December's £55.5 million - new acquisitions
apart. With the cashflow seasonality and with interest on deposits at
around 3 per cent, interest in the second half will be similar to that
of the first half. |
SLIDE
11 - PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT (ii)
The benefits of careful
tax planning for both established and acquired businesses and conservative
accounting over a long period are now being seen with a tax rate below
the UK standard rate at 23 per cent. This can now be expected to hold
for this year and next. Profit after tax for the half year was ahead of
the prior year. |
SLIDE
12 - FIRST HALF 2003 : DIVIDENDS/EPS
EPS before goodwill
amortisation is up 9 per cent to 9.5 pence per share - and up 2 per cent
after goodwill. With EPS moving ahead and with the objective of above
market dividend growth set, the Group is again in a position to make a
substantial increase in the dividend - up at the interim stage by 16 per
cent to 2.2 pence reflecting not only the financial strength of the business,
but also confidence in its long term prospects. This leaves the interim
dividend covered 4.4 times out of pre goodwill earnings. |
SLIDE
13 - CASHFLOW
Looking at the cashflow. Operating cashflow was strong in the period with the UK consumer businesses and notably Rangemaster producing impressive figures. Depreciation at £3.7 million was up from £2.9 million reflecting our continuing high level of capital investment over the last year. Net capital expenditure is likely to be close to £20 million in 2003. The most significant item of capital expenditure involves the move to a new factory site for Falcon. Falcon is to move to Wallace View, Stirling in 2004 from its existing ageing site in Larbert. The Stirling factory, formerly occupied by Wang, has been acquired for £5 million since the half year. Much of the cost has been financed from the sale of the existing site for housing to Bryant and from Scottish Government grants - cash is largely receivable following the actual move next year. The profit on sale of fixed assets of over £1 million this half includes the Larbert sale, providing a level of other income around that of the last 2 years and a level to be expected in coming years. In working capital
terms, the first six months' performance was good and, for the first time
in many years, there was a positive net cash inflow in the first half
from operating activities. |
SLIDE
14 - FIRST HALF 2003 - BALANCE SHEET
On the balance sheet, net operating assets have increased with the Bongard acquisition. So too has goodwill. Goodwill in the balance sheet itself is now £134 million. The balance sheet is conservatively prepared. Indeed, we retain under review the relatively high level of provisions still in place after the Etex disposal as the risks being covered are diminishing. What is interesting to note is the level of return the Group is achieving on the capital of £278 million that we have employed. The historical return on assets held pre the Pipe Systems disposal is about 20 per cent, largely driven by Aga and historical capital values; the overall return on capital invested is in the region of 15 per cent, and compares to 3 per cent on cash. Looking at the return
on investments made since the Pipe Systems disposal, given a 9 per cent
cost of capital, Belshaw is achieving substantially in excess and Mono,
Millers, Domain, Fired Earth, Williams and Victory are at or above 9 per
cent. Those currently below the cost of capital are Bongard and Adamatic. |
SLIDE
15 - NEW VALUATION FOR PENSION FUND
A new actuarial valuation
as at 31st December 2002 has been completed by Watson Wyatt. The valuation
shows, on a SSAP 24 basis, as will be adopted in the 2003 Accounts, that
there was a surplus in the scheme. Further, the cash contribution rate
required from the company is set to fall. As a result any profit and loss
charge will be covered, as indicated at the year end presentation, by
the provisions already in place and the cash contribution which will fall
from £7.4 million in 2002 to £4.5 million in 2003. It should
fall again in 2004. The steps taken as far back as 1997 to reduce the
risks to the changing group of pension costs have proved their worth and
although a scheme with assets of around £600 million is obviously
large in relation to the company, the moves to match assets and liabilities,
and to understand the nature of the Group's liabilities, have worked,
enabling us to avoid pension issues being a dominant consideration and
to set the financial strategy. |
SLIDE
16 - FINANCIAL STRATEGY
We remain aware that with net cash of over £40 million, we do not yet have an efficient balance sheet and we expect to move progressively to a geared balance sheet. Our acquisition appraisal
processes are continuing. We have noted several times that share buy-backs
is a policy instrument to keep available as, indeed, is the use of treasury
shares from December. We also recognise that we do have the scope for
a progressive dividend policy. The 20% full year 2002 dividend increase
has been followed with a 16% interim increase. There is still further
scope as some of the initiatives within the operations bring the benefits
that Stephen will now explain. |
STEPHEN
RENNIE:
SLIDE 17 - PRODUCT AND PRODUCTION PROGRESS Good morning. At the preliminary results we talked about how we were working to create the right structures within the Group to drive growth. Group resources were being made available, notably within foodservice, to support cross-company initiatives -cementing them together. This year we expect in foodservice the value of the product made by one company and sold by another group company should reach £8 million and that should multiply by 3 next year. This morning, I will provide examples of where we see product initiatives offering engines for growth. The examples come
from Aga-Rayburn and Rangemaster within the consumer businesses, and at
Falcon/Williams and Adamatic within foodservice. |
SLIDE
18 - AGA-RAYBURN : PRODUCTION EXCELLENCE
The Coalbrookdale
foundry is an integral part of a world heritage site. At Aga-Rayburn a
£5 million investment in our Coalbrookdale and Telford sites to
create a world class foundry for cast iron and an enamelling centre almost
without comparison, has been fundamental to creating the operational gearing
from which we are now benefiting. Here we are seeing cross-selling benefits.
Rangemaster's new upmarket ranges have cast iron pan supports from Aga-Rayburn
and this increases foundry efficiency. The overall prize is that unit
costs would fall still further should overall production run up to 50
per cent higher than currently required. Product and process quality has
also improved. For example, we have rigorous enamelling standards which
help minimise field calls. Warranty costs as a percentage of revenue are
at an all time low. |
SLIDE
19 - AGA-RAYBURN : EXPANDING THE RANGE
Aga has also been through a remarkable new product development phase. Apart from the continuing work to make fuel types regulatory compliant by country, there are key new products now coming to market. The conventional cooking but cast iron Six-Four series launched last year is running at 5 per cent of UK sales and over 25 per cent of US sales. It will be joined next year by a 60 cm Four-Two Series (four burners/two ovens) version. 2003 has already seen the launch of the 3-oven Aga. Priced to encourage a move up from 2 to 3 ovens given it is the same size, it is now running at around 7 per cent of Aga production. With 2/3/4 oven variations and a percentage of customers also taking a conventional cooker module, it is the enriched product mix, not only sales volumes, driving profitability. The technical breakthroughs
continue. By the end of the year there will be the all new electric Aga.
Heat storage cooking is about constant heat not bursts of power and an
Aga can now run on a 13 amp plug - real plug and play, completely flexible
in where it goes in the kitchen. With no flue needed and no ignition systems,
it will be low maintenance. Internationally it can be a major driver. |
SLIDE
20 - RANGEMASTER : A REINVENTED BUSINESS
Looking now at Rangemaster.
Its transformation from commodity cooker to specialist range cooker producer
over the last two years has been a major advance - a business reinvented.
It is now a manufacturer of premium cookers and sinks. With nearly £3
million spent on the Leamington Spa site and on manufacturing upgrades
and lean processes, the two-hundredth year since the Flavel family moved
to Leamington has been among the most successful. The relaunch as Rangemaster
and the sustained higher market profile as an Aga company have really
helped. But again, you need the right product and with the sustained strength
of Rangemaster, backed by the Elan and Classic, the current mix is strong.
|
SLIDE
21 - RANGEMASTER : PRODUCT INNOVATION
Now comes the move
into modernism with the launch of the Elite, a stainless quality finish,
bespoke hood, all new control panel - a unique look on show here today.
We are, however, acutely aware that we have been here before and it was
not enough. The Kitchener, the debonair original Rangemaster, brought
glory days - temporarily; the long term success for Rangemaster needs
larger markets overseas. Again, Aga has given the impetus. As for Aga,
Rangemaster has Holland as a major market with displays this year at over
200 - more than doubled. Rangemaster is also linking in with Aga's US
distributors and is heading for a 2004 product launch. Rangemaster has
been set the task of having 30 per cent of its business outside the UK
within 3 years - up from the current figure of around 5 per cent. |
SLIDE
22 - AGA-RANGEMASTER PREMIER COLLECTION
To help achieve it
we have devised an exciting retail format usable internationally which
ties in with our key lifestyle retail themes. Row upon row of regimented
appliances are an uninspiring way to sell. Contextualisation using Fired
Earth tiles and quality lighting, creating an Aga-Rangemaster Premier
studio area in stores, is a major new theme we are taking to specialist
retailers this autumn. |
SLIDE
23 - AGA FOODSERVICE 'KNOW-HOW'
Now looking at foodservice and the proposition contained in the Aga Foodservice 'Know-How' document. Whether you are the chef in a five-star hotel; the buyer for a casual dining chain or opening a snack bar, we should be your equipment source for assistance in menu development. The 'Know-How' covers not only key product areas of the major companies but also areas like: - Menu development,
working with our in-house chef and at our cookery centre. This is a two way
process in order for us to meet our growing customers needs. |
SLIDE
24 - PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
Aga Foodservice 'Know-How' is also part of our effort to produce more directed, ambitious presentations for national accounts and key distributors to show we are attuned to their needs. Looking more specifically
at product development. From Falcon already there has been the Dominator
Fusion which adds a powerful wok burner to our already market leading
six-burner range. We are now launching a new grill to great reviews. By
early 2004 we will also have a new, radically innovative fryer range which
uses technology developed by Aga-Rayburn and for which we have considerable
worldwide expectations. |
SLIDE
25 - FOOD PRESERVATION SYSTEMS
Williams has tooled
up to produce fridges for Aga and for a new Falcon fridge to be launched
this autumn. Having moved slowly into the domestic refrigeration market
over the last 18 months we are confident in our products and that they
are well attuned to market needs. We are ready to accelerate and indeed
broaden the range using potentially OEM products to gain breadth and credibility
in what is an attractive market place. We continue to see an opportunity
for us in the significant price differentials between the domestic and
commercial markets. |
SLIDE
26 - ADAMATIC : CEMENT BENIFICIARY
We made the case last
time for the impact of cement money to draw businesses together and make
the foodservice operations more than a series of fabricators. Perhaps
the progress of Adamatic may make the case. In 2003 Adamatic, the producer
of roll lines may see profits fall from the record achieved last year
because of weaker markets and the timing and delays to major projects.
Yet Adamatic is having a particularly exciting year. It has worked with
Mono and Bongard to produce new deck and rack ovens for its key customer,
the rapidly growing US chain, Panera Bread, for which it currently third
party sources. These are already on test. It has also taken Bongard's
Esmach mixers successfully to the USA. It has sold Mono's depositors and
is launching Mono's convection ovens. Adamatic is no longer just a narrow,
niche player. It is suddenly a major player in the US bakery market -
something being highlighted this week at the major industry trade show,
NAFEM, for which the brochure shown here has been prepared. |
SLIDE
27 - DISTILLING THE FOODSERVICE THEME
While today's numbers
are of great significance it is also right to see how much potential there
is already and can be generated within the businesses we have. The global
pattern of play is well established, understood and is producing. North,
south, yeast, west - Aga Foodservice Equipment is everywhere. |
WBM:
SLIDE 28 - CURRENT TRADING Now looking at current trading. Consumer spending is important to us. The Group now has over 200 retail outlets covering over 500,000 square feet. In the UK consumer businesses have performed well and this trend is continuing. Home surveys, a good lead indicator, at Aga are still well up year on year and we are optimistic Aga's Project 10,000 targets will be achieved. Rangemaster's improved performance should continue. Further, margins can improve for both Aga and Fired Earth retail as the speed and costs of new openings slow. Aga is making progress in the US where we now have well over 200 displays and over 100 live Agas, doubled in the last year. We have a strong national distribution structure including some of the leading US upscale appliance dealers. In addition, there are now the 12 Aga/Domain shops. We expect orders this year to reach 750 - more than double last year and for Domain's Fair Oaks, Virginia store to be the largest single outlet with orders reaching 20. Next year sales should double again to over 1,500. For Domain, markets remain tough. Domain itself has product ranges that are catching attention and it has now been featured in cult TV shows, like NBC's, "Queer Eye for a Straight Guy" was a help - a product endorsement picked up in both Time and Newsweek. A bounce is expected in sector sales this autumn. Given order to delivery timeframes, the benefits are largely for 2004 and Domain will trade down in 2003. In foodservice, orders in the UK have remained lacklustre this summer with the major accounts remaining circumspect - although there are some more positive signs. On the continent Bongard markets are patchy. In the USA, in contrast, the operations continue to show real progress. The US and European slow downs have made this year hard pounding but we expect a reasonable out-turn in a year that has had a focus on establishing the interconnections which will enable us to deliver a compelling growth story in 2004. We do think the time is right to add to the marketing push because we have the products and infrastructure to support it. To emphasise the point here is a montage of the marketing campaigns primarily for the consumer operations this autumn. |
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RUN CAMPAIGN (slides 29 - 32)
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SLIDE
33 - STRATEGIC PLAN
On the strategic and
acquisitions front we are sticking to the 2001 plan. We have not looked
for acquisitions to transform the business - the Pipe Systems sale did
that. We have looked for businesses strong in their own right with growth
prospects but which would become stronger as part of a major team that
we now are. This has meant a slower process than individual major moves
would mean - but it allows for care in selection and for integration.
We have never had more opportunities to consider. Discussions continue
to highlight that within our sector the speed of progress; the strategic
logic underpinning it and the growth potential mean we are a Group that,
target company management teams, want to join. We have not rushed to conclude
deals but discussions should result in at least one addition this year.
We see acquisitions giving a greater presence in North America and Europe
as attractive. We believe the UK consumer brand portfolio, as seen in
the address book, is enticing and that more brands could be added to it.
Once that process is complete, we believe we will have created a grouping
that is cohesive, straightforward and exciting. |
SLIDE
34 - CONCLUSIONS
In conclusion, we are pleased with progress. Current trading has
its clear concerns : last year's North American and European acquisitions
were made recognising the risks of short term market weakness - but the
underlying potential is as great as we had envisaged. We will add marketing
resource to ensure the potential is realised. We have a really strong
management team happy to deal with the broad strategic and the narrow
operational issues - and increasingly confidence is based on empirical
evidence as well as logic and aspiration. |
SLIDE
35 - CLOSING SLIDE WITH QUOTE
Finally, the Address book concludes, and so will I, with a quote from the essayist Matthew Arnold, with which I hope we have complied: "Have something to say : say it as clearly as you can, that is the only secret of style." |